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January/ February 2011
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>>Rising in Temperature
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By Susan Venter

 Disasters

Throughout history, floods have proven to be the deadliest of natural disasters. The deadliness of flooding is primarily due to the congregation of human population around rivers and coastal areas. These areas provide the resources needed for agriculture, transportation, and industry so it is no accident that all of the ancient civilizations arose around rivers (World Meteorological Organization, p. 14). Catastrophic floods caused by a variety of meteorological and hydrological events, such as hurricanes, cyclones, high winds, sustained or intense precipitation, have been in the headlines around the world in the past century. This, together with the fact that the "livelihood of a vast share of the world's population depends, directly and indirectly, on a number of natural resources that are generally provided by floodplains as well as on the income generated" (World Meteorological Organization, p. 14) by these areas, means flooding still accounts for untold suffering and an ever increasing loss of property, life and natural resources.

With the ever increasing pressure being put on floodplains by growing human populations and agricultural and industrial activities, the past practices of localized piecemeal flood management approach is becoming less effective and more cost prohibitive. Moreover, with the advances that have been made in the study and understanding of flood mechanics as well as growing concern over the mismanagement of the natural resources in floodplain areas, flood management is being looked at from a more regional, national and even international perspective. A more holistic approach for flood management is being advocated by many national and international agencies. Flood management should cover plans and actions by local, regional and national authorities before, during and after flooding. Every decision that influences a hydrological basin must be taken into account when planning for flood management and how these decisions will even influence the surrounding area (World Meteorological Organization, p. 15). With such an approach though, comes the problem of managing such plans and implementing policies that will affect the lives of those people that live within these regions.

Integrated Flood Management

Integrated Flood Management (IMF), as defined by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), integrates land and water resources development in a river basin with the goal of maximizing the efficient use of floodplains and minimizing loss of life and property (World Meteorological Organization, p. 4). This process encourages the participation of users, planners and policymakers at all levels. The approach should be open, transparent, inclusive and communicative, decentralizing decision-making and including public consultation of stakeholders in planning and implementation. We will take a brief look at the policies and flood management plans that two different countries have taken.

Flood

Netherlands

This developed country has focused on preventing flooding through the use of dikes and other structures. After each flood, the dikes have been raised and if required, investments in those areas would be increased. As a result of a major flood from the North Sea in 1953 which caused the deaths of more than 1800 people, flooding practices and structures were legally mandated to "withstand water levels related to a discharge with a return time of 1250 years" (De Bruijn, p. 1). The practices taken for any area would depend on the flooding risk in the area and the total avoidance of any flooding events. Flood risk would be reassessed every 5 years. As pointed out in the paper titled Resilient Flood Risk Management Strategies though, this policy had several disadvantages and should now be changed to more resilient flood risk management practices.

The current plans for flooding call for the same level of protection for different areas within the country. Therefore cities, agricultural and nature preserves are all protected to the same degree, resulting in a sizeable economic investment without regard to the consequences of flooding for these different areas. In addition, since most efforts are focused on the prevention of flooding, not enough consideration might have been put forth for the eventuality of a flood occurring and the plans required for that possibility. This might also cause a false sense of security in the people which could be negated by the changes occurring in global climate. The limitations put on the river systems through the use of dikes and stream changes have also led to a gradual increase in the narrowed flood plain levels, which necessitates an increase in the height of the protective dikes. Rather than just concentrating on the prevention of floods, a resilient flood management is being advocated. In the proposal, resilience should be incorporated into flood management planning such that the system has the ability "to return to a normal situation after flooding of a part of the area caused by a peak discharge." Focus should be put on planning to reduce the impacts of floods on an area and speeding the recovery process. Impacts could be reduced through the use of warning systems, evacuation plans, better spatial planning and redirection of flood waters. Plans will be redirected to "living with floods" ( De Bruijn, pp. 4&5).

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New Orleans, Louisiana

As in the case of the Netherlands, the primary actions that have been taken in New Orleans have been in the area of flood prevention. A major system of levees, causeways and floodgates have been constructed over the past several decades; primarily following a flooding event. The projects have all concentrated on preventing future flooding; however after each event, years of complacency and neglect follow until the next flood. The Federal government did pass the National Flood Insurance Program in 1968 as a means to pay for the reconstruction and recovery after a flood but not all citizens of New Orleans were covered under this program. Besides, there was no way that this program could have covered all costs suffered. There is also the fact that the risk of flooding is rising in New Orleans due to the recent rise in sea level as a result of climate change, and the increasing number of Atlantic basin hurricanes especially in and around the Gulf of Mexico. (Gross, p. 4) Additionally, New Orleans is situated on "recent delta sediments" so the area is sinking at "geologically rapid rates." (Grossi, p. 3)

One important recent finding is that "the people concerned with the ability to sell their properties and politicians focused on the need to sustain inward investment will prefer that information on rising levels of risk is not publicized"(Grossi, p. 4), which is a very difficult mindset to reverse. The increasing flooding risk in New Orleans is something that the area needs to be made aware of, but judging from personal accounts of the rebuilding efforts that are occurring in the area, these risks are not being sufficiently addressed. In the St. Bernard Parrish, which was one of the hardest-hit areas during Hurricane Katrina, residents are rebuilding on the same house pad sites that their homes were on before being swept away by Hurricane Katrina. It will require diligence on the part of federal, state and local management agencies as well as the local residents to ensure that the true flood risks are known.

Author's Recommendations
Conference

With advances in the scientific understanding and the quantitative analysis of flooding, flood management must encompass more aspects in its planning and consider the effects of one part on another. Planning for flooding should also include all interested parties, and decisions should be made not just from the bottom up or from the top down. Plans must account for conditions that cover the entire region or water basin. They should also take into account the local and regional social, religious and economic conditions so that local residents accept and support any developed plans. Finally, these plans need to be maintained and updated to reflect the changing aspects of flood management.

References

Al Barwani, Ahmed Said. "County Paper: Oman - Innovative Strategies for Effective Flood Management." United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific. United Nations, 23 July 2009. Web. 5 Dec. 2010.  UNESCAP.org

Oman-Ahmed-Said-Al-Barwani-country-paper-Oman-final.pdf>. Expert Group Meeting on Innovative Strategies for Urban Flood Management Considering Climate Change in Pacific-Asia.

De Bruijn, Karin M., and Frans Klijn. "Resilient Flood Risk Management Strategies." International Association of Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research. The International Association of Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research, n.d. Web. 5 Nov. 2010.  IAHR.org

Grossi, Patricia, and Robert Muir-Wood. "Flood Risk in New Orleans." RMS. Risk Management Solutions, Inc, 2006. Web. 8 Nov. 2010  RMS

Jones,, Joseph L., and Janice M. Fulford. "NEAR-REAL-TIME FLOOD MODELING AND MAPPING FOR THE INTERNET." The USGS Surface Water Quality and Flow Modeling Interest Group. Proceedings of the Second Federal Interagency Hydrologic Modeling Conference, 1 Aug. 2002. Web. 4 Dec. 2010   SMIG.gov

World Meteorological Organization. "Integrated Flood Management Concept Paper." Associatred Programme on Flood Management. World Meteorological Organization, 2009. Web. 11 Oct. 2010   APFM.info

 

Expanding Our Mission and Scope

IEDRO is adding an important focus to our activities for our next five years – to educate the world about the critical importance of rescuing historic weather records. Also, equally important, we will educate agencies throughout the world how to use this valuable, life saving information for the purpose of improving and safeguarding lives.

 Educating

In addition to locating, imaging and digitizing historic records that have been cited in stories recently carried by several national and international newspapers including the Baltimore Sun, the Chicago Tribune, USA Today and the Oman Tribune, IEDRO is expanding our work to spread the word not only about why these data are so critical to everyone's health and safety, but to provide specific applications of these old data to mitigate many of the problems facing humanity, such as floods, droughts, starvation and the spread of disease.

References

"Old Ship Logs Fill in Weather History of Past 250 Years" by Doyle Rice, USA Today. November, 26, 2010:  USA Today

"Volunteers Around World Putting Old Weather Data Online: Moldering Records Being Digitized in Maryland" by Frank Roylance, Baltimore Sun, January 3, 2011:  Baltimore Sun

"Volunteers around world putting old weather data online: Moldering records being digitized in Maryland," Chicago Tribune, January 3, 2011  Chicago Tribune

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